How job market patterns affect voting patterns across states?

Looked at if American states which lose a significant quantity of jobs during a recession tend to have most of these voters change party affiliation to Republican. We hypothesized significant job loss in a state would make the states overall political ideology more conservative. This hypothesis was correct and we were also able to reject the null hypothesis at the 5%, 1% and 0.1% levels. Link to every iteration of the project below:-

Github:- https://github.com/anishmitra9666/Capstone

Key insights:-

1)A positive net private job change of one is correlated with a 5.49*10^6 Percentage point decrease in the vote share of republicans. The result is significant at a α=.05 level. This implies that job loss and harder times influences people into voting republican. While that coefficient may look tiny, This is significant because the average net change in private jobs was 161,034.8 per state.

2. To look at the average effect of the job changes we can multiply the two numbers 0.00000549 (percentage points/job)*161,034.8jobs=0.884081052 percentage points. While this might not seem like a massive result, it is important to keep in mind that certain parts of the country have experienced more net change than others. In addition since certain states have more proportional power in the electoral college that .88 percentage point estimate may be low in assessing the effect of job loss. Given the complexity of the issue, there is certainly reason to think that it would not be a linear relationship. Part of this could come from the fact that people tend to listen to wishful thinking rather than real solutions when they have just lost their job.